Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.432614 0.507258 0.588814 0.684260 0.792607 0.911480 1.051462
2025-01-19 0.305577 0.403229 0.520610 0.670831 0.856580 1.077245 1.357592
2025-01-26 0.237263 0.346130 0.487846 0.682866 0.940855 1.266701 1.705019
2025-02-02 0.189989 0.302886 0.460414 0.691004 1.013679 1.442096 2.045376
2025-02-09 0.154915 0.267842 0.435584 0.694890 1.075853 1.603638 2.375952
2025-02-16 0.132068 0.245682 0.424117 0.713429 1.156658 1.793256 2.755256
2025-02-23 0.111625 0.222877 0.407153 0.719629 1.217263 1.955945 3.105144
2025-03-02 0.089722 0.192915 0.373508 0.694018 1.224671 2.038493 3.341201
2025-03-09 0.079044 0.181033 0.367987 0.712576 1.301543 2.228993 3.747950
2025-03-16 0.068972 0.168211 0.358616 0.722702 1.364298 2.400336 4.134158
2025-03-23 0.063856 0.164414 0.365017 0.760676 1.475924 2.655166 4.663958
2025-03-30 0.054676 0.149999 0.348936 0.755468 1.511902 2.788515 5.006624
2025-04-06 0.046037 0.135170 0.330273 0.743992 1.537078 2.907890 5.337988
2025-04-13 0.039055 0.122687 0.314536 0.736222 1.568023 3.038777 5.695980
2025-04-20 0.034825 0.116158 0.310571 0.751388 1.642513 3.248907 6.198100
2025-04-27 0.030772 0.109117 0.304327 0.760900 1.706523 3.443798 6.683595
2025-05-04 0.026965 0.101795 0.296236 0.765335 1.760508 3.623226 7.150529
2025-05-11 0.024489 0.097785 0.295464 0.785533 1.847136 3.866475 7.741008
2025-05-18 0.021657 0.091908 0.289097 0.792286 1.906555 4.062130 8.255139
2025-05-25 0.017770 0.081365 0.268873 0.764485 1.891473 4.116120 8.514680
2025-06-01 0.016239 0.078558 0.268889 0.784637 1.979440 4.371365 9.154480
2025-06-08 0.014556 0.074694 0.265344 0.795631 2.048161 4.592485 9.740105
2025-06-15 0.013972 0.074928 0.273584 0.836840 2.186192 4.956363 10.608447